Table 3.

IPSS-M risk score, risk categories, and clinical outcomes

Risk categoryIPSS-M scoreMedian leukemia-free survival (y)Median OS (y)AML transformation by 1 y (%)
Six-category risk schema     
Very low (14% of all patients) Less than or equal to −1.5 9.7 10.6 
Low (33%) More than −1.5 to −0.5 5.9 6.0 1.7 
Moderate low (11%) More than −0.5 to 0 4.5 4.6 4.9 
Moderate high (11%) >0 to 0.5 2.3 2.8 9.5 
High (14%) >0.5 to 1.5 1.5 1.7 14.3 
Very high (17%) >1.5 0.7 1.0 28.2 
Lower-risk vs higher-risk MDS     
Lower-risk MDS (58%) ≤0 (negative value) 6.0 (95% CI, 5.7-6.7) 6.3 (95% CI, 5.8-7.2) 2.0 
Higher-risk MDS (42%) >0 (positive value) 1.2 (95% CI, 1.1-1.3) 1.5 (95% CI, 1.4-1.6) 18.9 
Risk categoryIPSS-M scoreMedian leukemia-free survival (y)Median OS (y)AML transformation by 1 y (%)
Six-category risk schema     
Very low (14% of all patients) Less than or equal to −1.5 9.7 10.6 
Low (33%) More than −1.5 to −0.5 5.9 6.0 1.7 
Moderate low (11%) More than −0.5 to 0 4.5 4.6 4.9 
Moderate high (11%) >0 to 0.5 2.3 2.8 9.5 
High (14%) >0.5 to 1.5 1.5 1.7 14.3 
Very high (17%) >1.5 0.7 1.0 28.2 
Lower-risk vs higher-risk MDS     
Lower-risk MDS (58%) ≤0 (negative value) 6.0 (95% CI, 5.7-6.7) 6.3 (95% CI, 5.8-7.2) 2.0 
Higher-risk MDS (42%) >0 (positive value) 1.2 (95% CI, 1.1-1.3) 1.5 (95% CI, 1.4-1.6) 18.9 

Original information is from Bernard et al,16 as displayed by Cazzola and Malcovati (reproduced under a CC BY-NC license).25 

The IPSS-M calculation uses information about the mutation status of the following genes in addition to del(5q): ASXL1, BCOR, BCORL1, CBL, CEBPA, DNMT3A, ETNK1, ETV6, EZH2, FLT3, GATA2, GNB1, IDH1, IDH2, KRAS, MLL (KMT2A), NF1, NPM1, NRAS, PHF6, PPM1D, PRPF8, PTPN11, RUNX1, SETBP1, SF3B1, SRSF2, STAG2, TP53, U2AF1, and WT1.

The International Working Group for Prognosis in MDS has developed the IPSS-M web-based calculator, which is freely available online.16 In addition to providing the individual IPSS-R and IPSS-M scores, the calculator also returns the expected leukemia-free survival (median value, y), (OS median value, y), and risk of AML transformation (% by 1 y). Notably, the calculator is capable of accounting for missing values, whereby the IPSS-M is calculated under three distinct scenarios: best, average, and worst.

CI, confidence interval.

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